This article presents a linear econometric model with variable coefficients for the analysis of the quarterly dynamics of the Brazilian gross tax burden in the 1995-2008 years.The choice of this particular model was motivated by the constant changes made in the Brazilian tax system during these...

The aim of this article is to estimate a Bayesian factorial dynamic model for the analysis and forecasting of the Brazilian tax burden (BTB) using monthly data from 1996 to 2007. Twenty taxes are responsible for about 80% of the BTB, each of which with a distinct seasonal pattern The factorial...

This article discusses the dynamics of both the size and the composition of the Brazilian aggregate tax burden (BATB) in the 1995-2007 period and presents several (linear and non-linear) econometric specifications for this last variable. Our main conclusion - based both on the analysis of the...