This paper is dedicated to research of level of profitability and risk in Russian stock market in the period of world crisis 2008-2009 Correlations of Russian stock market with the main world stock indices and prices of energy commodities are discussed Autocorrelation of returns is researched...

This paper considers different ways of computing indexes for forecasting economic activity in Russia. The first is the methodology used by the Russian Development Centre based on the concept of "growth cycles". The second combines the dynamic principal components and dynamic factor analyses. The...

We continue publishing the four-part consultation of professor of Moscow School of Economics of Lomonosov MSU Dean Fantazzini. The first part, that appeared in 2 (10), 2008 of the journal, dealt with the introduction to the problem (section one: basic concepts and types of financial risks,...

This part completes the consultation series of Dean Fantazzini dealing with econometric analysis of financial data in credit risk management. Particularly, analysis of multidimensional credit risk models is continued from the previous discussion

An original method of calculating the weight factors for moving averaging is suggested The advantage of the proposed method in comparison with the standard smoothing is discussed

We perform an econometric analysis of cointegration of the Brent oil price and general and industrial indices of the RTS and MICEX stock exchanges. Positive relation between the oil price and the MICEX industrial index for an oil sector. It is interesting to note that a cointegration between the...

We investigate macroeconomics effects of an oil price in Russia in 2000-2010. We find long-run relations associating the oil price, the GDP, the CPI and the interbank interest rate. (in Russian)

This study analyses possibilities for independent national redistribution and risk sharing policy in EMU by reviewing literature on fiscal federalism. The currency union will not directly affect the national welfare policy. It might increase mobility of people and capital, which would tighten...

The paper aims at reconstructing the regulator’s loss function both qualitatively and quantitatively. The main idea is to deduct from the observed behavior of the monetary policy instrument the underlying preferences that explain such behavior. In order to obtain quantitative results we use...