This paper proposes a novel way of formulating priors for estimating economic models. System priors are priors about the model's features and behavior as a system, such as the sacrifice ratio or the maximum duration of response of inflation to a particular shock, for instance. System priors...

We develop a DSGE model with a banking sector to analyze the impact of the financial crisis on Zambia and the role of the monetary policy response. We view the crisis as a combination of three related shocks: a worsening in the terms of the trade, an increase in the country’s risk...

After the current quantitative easing program ends, it would be natural for the FOMC to put monetary policy on hold.

"Death of a Theory," presented in St. Louis. January 13, 2012.

15th Annual Credit Suisse Asian Investment Conference,> Hong Kong, March 23, 2012

March 2, 2012. Presentation. "The U.S. Economy in the Aftermath of the Financial Crisis." Presented at the Bank of Montreal Lecture in Economics, Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, British Columbia.

April 5, 2012. Presented at the InvestMidwest Venture Capital Forum, St. Louis.

"SNEAK PREVIEW: Death of a Theory." Presented at the Korea-America Economic Association, Chicago, Illinois. January 7, 2012.

February 24, 2012. "Comments on 'Housing, Monetary Policy, and the Recovery' by Michael Feroli, Ethan Harris, Amir Sufi, and Kenneth West." Given at the 2012 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, Initiative on Global Markets, University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

May 30, 2012. "Demographics, Redistribution, and Optimal Inflation," with Carlos Garriga and Christopher J. Waller. Presented by Christopher Waller at the 2012 BOJ-IMES Conference Demographic Changes and Macroeconomic Performance.