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Using methods from machine learning we show that fundamentals from simple exchange rate models (PPP or UIRP) or Taylor-rule based models lead to improved exchange rate forecasts for major currencies over the floating period era 1973--2014 at a 1-month forecast horizon which beat the no-change...
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its factors that influence it. The variables which are used are exchange rate, inflation, the price of natural rubber, and … direct, indirect, and total effect of exchange rate, inflation, price to export of natural rubber of North Sumatra by … production of natural rubber. The data calculating uses Eviews 5.1. The result shows that exchange rate, inflation, and price of …
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