This paper proposes two new coincident probabilistic cyclical indicators developed by the Bank of France in order to follow, on a monthly basis, the French economic activity. The first one is an indicator which aims at detecting the turning points of the acceleration cycle while the second one...

Detrending time series and isolating cyclical fluctuations is crucial for business cycle analysis and definition of economic policy. Band-pass filters provide a set of statistical methods to extract the cycle, defined according to a specified range of periodicities. Christiano and Fitzgerald...

What have we learned about productivity in the past two decades? In this article, Andrew Sharpe from the Centre for the Study of Living Standards reviews a recently published NBER volume entitled New Development in Productivity Analysis, edited by Charles R. Hulten, Edwin R. Dean, and Michael J....