Using methods from machine learning we show that fundamentals from simple exchange rate models (PPP or UIRP) or Taylor-rule based models lead to improved exchange rate forecasts for major currencies over the floating period era 1973--2014 at a 1-month forecast horizon which beat the no-change...

Tax cuts create simultaneously a lack of tax receipts and more savings ready to be changed into public bonds and compensate this shortage of tax revenue. A part of tax resources is replaced by borrowing and those who are enjoying tax cuts are also receiving interest from government. The...