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This manuscript provides an introduction to statistics and probability method. It is structured around three themes developed in five chapters. The first part is an introduction to probability calculations in which we introduce the notions of elementary probability, probabilized spaces, random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015251014
evolution of volatility over time through a GARCH (1,1) modelling. We use the methodology of event studies on a sample of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170013
assumptions of the Merton model: the assumption of constant asset volatility and the assumption of a single debt maturity. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324235
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406621
GARCH and sign-type tests against general dependencies and asymmetries. The procedures proposed provide exact versions of … following. Whereas univariate exact tests indicate significant serial correlation, asymmetries and GARCH in some equations, such … matrice de covariance des erreurs. Nous considérons des tests contre la dépendance sérielle, contre la présence d'effets GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100677
of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a … normality assumption is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including … tests for multivariate GARCH and multivariate generalization of the well known variance ratio tests) and goodness of fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100885
authorities as well, for the financial market volatility. The analysis of these phenomena is justified by the fact that the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008471837
The risk-return trade-off being the very substance of finance, volatility has always been an essential parameter for … volatility risk: i.e. the model risk generated by treating the volatility as a constant parameter, when it is in fact volatile …. Hence the econometrician is asked for accurate measures and reliable forecasts of volatility, not only for pricing and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100999
This paper studies how financial development affects the relation between average growth and growth volatility through … volatility is more likely to be negative in developing countries, but more likely to be positive in developed economies. Finally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998817
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002514700