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This study tests an international extension of the Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) based on the coexistence of two risk causes. The first cause is linked to the market portfolio and the second one is required by expectations about the variation of exchange rates. Through an application to various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005404303
This paper analyzes the causal relationships between returns and volatilities of assets prices in U.S. and French markets. The period for the study has been taken from January 1997 to December 2000, using daily and weekly data. Initial results show that U.S. stock prices "Granger-cause" French...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015226556
Summary: The European Union absorbs nearly 75% of Tunisian exports and represents about 50% of Tunisian imports, which explains the important weight of the euro in the Tunisian dinar anchor basket. Thus, the purpose of this article is to predict short-term exchange rate fluctuations EUR/TND,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015258910
Recent studies on general equilibrium models with transaction costs show that the dynamics of the real exchange rate are necessarily nonlinear. Our contribution to the literature on nonlinear price adjustment mechanisms is treefold. First, we model the real exchange rate by a Multi-Regime...
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Using methods from machine learning we show that fundamentals from simple exchange rate models (PPP or UIRP) or Taylor-rule based models lead to improved exchange rate forecasts for major currencies over the floating period era 1973--2014 at a 1-month forecast horizon which beat the no-change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499680