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So as to better understand households' consumption behaviour, the composition of incomes was not as regarded as wealth structure. Since the 80s in France, the former has dramatically changed though, retirement and unemployment transfers taking a heavier weight. Various reasons can justify that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003510
This paper presents the main improvements carried out to the macroeconometric model MZE since its creation in 2003. We have back-calculated the series over the period 1980-1995, in order to make the model more stable. To our knowledge, this paper is the first application of Kllians (1998) method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364398
The forecasting literature has identified three important and broad issues: the predictive content is unstable over … forecasting variables before use. We thus cut-out the low frequency components and show, in simulations and on financial data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421811
and several other popular forecasting variables. The proposed method, based on a wavelet multi-scaling analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788682
A comparison of the forecasting abilities of univariate ARIMA, multivariate ARIMA, and VAR, and examination of whether … series should be differenced before estimating models for forecasting purposes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428407
Characterizing asset return dynamics using volatility models is an important part of empirical finance. The existing literature favors some rather complex volatility specifications whose relative performance is usually assessed through their likelihood based on a time-series of asset returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100917
model-free methods of volatility forecasting do not exist any more than do arbitrage opportunities (free lunches) in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100999
MASCOTTE is the new version of the Banque de France's macro-econometric forecasting model. Following the last rebasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056499
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