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-term inflation objectives. In the long term, monetary policy is most effective in achieving its objectives when the inflation target … is changed in response to the new economy and when the monetary authority attempts to stabilize both inflation and output … for in changing the assessment of the potential growth rate and the inflation target. …
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This study describes a simple model for predicting the real U.S. exchange rate. Starting with a large number of error-correction models, the authors choose the one giving the best out-of-sample forecasts over the period 1992Q3 - 2002Q1. In the selected model, the effective real exchange rate is...
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