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Microsimulation of demographic behaviours using 2 alternative data sources

ROBERT-BOBÉE, I. - Département des Études Économiques d'Ensemble (D3E), … - 2002

-1996, completed fertility may decrease to less than 2 children per woman born around 1970 and remain constant about 1.9 children per …, we assume that future behaviours will remain identical to the ones observed in 1995-1996, when fertility was quite low … estimated in 1996-1998, years of higher fertility. Results are found to be very consistent with the previous ones. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001099

Modelling Demographic Events in the Microsimulation Model DESTINIE

DUÉE, M. - Département des Études Économiques d'Ensemble (D3E), … - 2005

are consistent with a fertility of 1.9 children per woman, which corresponds to the observed fertility since 2000, and an … average age at birth of 30 years. For women, simulations lead to satisfactory results for completed fertility, fertility rate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003511

COVID-19 et le Dynamique de la Dette dans la zone CEMAC (Corona Virus and Debt Dynamics in CEMAC region; Placing Debt on a Downward Trajectory)

Kouam, Henri - 2020

French Abstract: Le coronavirus (COVID-19) a provoqué une baisse de l'activité économique mondiale, exacerbée par des mesures de distanciation sociale qui ont perturbé des secteurs couvrant le tourisme, l'industrie manufacturière et l'énergie. L'augmentation de l'inflation et...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833843

Estimation du cycle à l'aide d'un modèle à tendance stochastique et application au cas du Royaume-Uni

Boone, Laurence - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations … - 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005243450

Exchange Rate Regimes and Policies in Asia

Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations … - 1996

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005243455

The Euro and Exchange Rate Stability

Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès; Mojon, Benoît; Pisani-Ferry, Jean - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations … - 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005243470

Sharing the fruits of growth from 1950 to 2008: A surplus-accounting approach

LALANNE, G.; PIONNIER, P.-A.; SIMON, O. - Département des Études Économiques d'Ensemble (D3E), … - 2009

In this paper, we apply the surplus accounting methodology to analyze the distribution of the fruits of growth between production factors over the period 1950-2008. Three production factors are distinguished: paid employment, self-employment and capital. The surplus distributed to capital is nil...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008539956

Oil price and potential output growth in the long run

LALANNE, G.; POULIQUEN, E.; SIMON, O. - Département des Études Économiques d'Ensemble (D3E), … - 2009

The goal of this paper is to gauge the impact of the expected oil price increase on the potential output growth of the French economy in the long run. This potential output exercise is conducted using CES (Constant Elasticity of Substitution) production functions featuring three factors:...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008539997

La TVA sociale : bonne ou mauvaise idée ?

Fève, P.; Matheron, J.; Sahuc, J-G. - Banque de France - 2009

The quantitative and dynamic consequence of a social VAT reform, i.e. a fiscal reform consisting in substituting VAT for social contributions, is assessed using two general equilibrium models. The first one is a Walrasian model with no other frictions than distortionary taxation of labor and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531415

FDI in Chinese Cities: Spillovers and Impact on Growth

Madariaga, Nicole; Poncet, Sandra - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations … - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062884

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