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Ciblage de l'inflation, transparence et anticipations : une revue de la litterature récente
Salle, Isabelle - In: Revue d'économie politique 123 (2013) 5, pp. 697-736
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223013
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Elasticity of expectations and general equilibrium instability in Hicks, Lange, Modigliani and Patinkin
Rubin, Goulven - In: Revue d'histoire de la pensée économique 5 (2018) 1, pp. 55-87
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903194
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Anticipations, prime de risque et structure par terme des taux d'intérêt : une analyse des comportements d'experts
Prat, Georges; Uctum, Remzi - EconomiX, Université Paris Ouest-Nanterre la Défense … - 2006
Using Consensus Forecasts monthly surveys, we show that experts' interest rate expectations in the Eurofranc market do … not verify the rational expectations hypothesis. Instead, these expectations are found to be generated by a mixed process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094008
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Factors in business investment: an expectation based approach using business survey data
NABOULET, A.; RASPILLER, S. - Département des Études Économiques d'Ensemble (D3E), … - 2004
This paper analyses the determinants of the investment decision by focusing on the firms subjective judgments about the impact of some economic factors. This work uses data from the INSEEs business surveys on investment in the industry, over the period 1991-2002. In October, these data contain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003480
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A price uncertainty principle and the existence of sequential equilibrium.
Boisdeffre, Lionel de - Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 … - 2009
We consider a pure exchange financial economy, where agents observe private information signals, form private anticipations and face an "exogenous uncertainty" on the future state, and an "endogenous uncertainty", on the future prices. At a sequential equilibrium, all agents expect the "true"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008622015
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Effets d'une réforme fiscale sur l'offre de travail des ménages dans un cadre collectif simulé
Bargain, Olivier; Moreau, Nicolas - 2006
La littérature contient très peu de recherches empiriques concernant les effets distributifs du système sociofiscal à l’intérieur du ménage. Nous simulons cet effet dans le cadre du modèle collectif d’offre de travail lorsque l’on passe d’une taxation jointe à une taxation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475668
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La méthodologie économique du déductivisme millien au néo-positivisme
Cozic, Mikaël - In: Revue d'économie politique 124 (2014) 1, pp. 23-73
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364499
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Modélisation et prévision du taux de change réel effectif américain
Lalonde, René; Sabourin, Patrick - Bank of Canada - 2003
This study describes a simple model for predicting the real U.S. exchange rate. Starting with a large number of error-correction models, the authors choose the one giving the best out-of-sample forecasts over the period 1992Q3 - 2002Q1. In the selected model, the effective real exchange rate is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673308
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Durées d’utilisation des facteurs et fonction de production : une estimation par la méthode des moments généralisés en système
Heyer, Eric; Pelgrin, Florian; Sylvain, Arnaud - Bank of Canada - 2004
Although a number of studies have demonstrated the importance of the degree of factor utilization in economic analysis, the impact of the durations of utilization in a production function remains largely unknown, particularly in terms of the duration of equipment utilization. Using French data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808313
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Un modèle « PAC » d'analyse et de prévision des dépense des ménages américains
Gosselin, Marc-André; Lalonde, René - Bank of Canada - 2003
Traditional structural models cannot distinguish whether changes in activity are a function of altered expectations … separating observed dynamic behaviour into movements that have been induced by changes in expectations, and responses to … expectations, that have been delayed because of adjustment costs. In these models, agents’ decisions are a function of forecasts of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808324