Showing 1 - 10 of 243
, Econometrica). We study in detail the case of VAR models and we propose linear methods based on running vector autoregressions at … applied to a VAR model of the U.S. economy. Nous proposons des méthodes pour tester des hypothèses de non-causalité à … différents horizons, tel que défini dans Dufour et Renault (1998, Econometrica). Nous étudions le cas des modèles VAR en détail …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100843
In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of a simple two-stage (Hannan-Rissanen-type) linear estimator for stationary invertible vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models in the echelon form representation. General conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100706
The present paper investigates the dynamic effects of disinflation shocks for a number of real macroeconomic variables in the euro area. Using structural VARs, we identify disinflation shocks as the only shocks that can exert a long--run effect on inflation as well as other nominal variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531414
Cet article vise à évaluer la croissance potentielle en France, en Allemagne et en zone euro au cours de la période postérieure à la crise de crédit de 2007-2008 jusqu’à l’horizon de prévision 2012. Une telle évaluation joue en effet un rôle central dans celle du déficit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195335
We consider the VaR associated with the global loss generated by a set risk sources. We propose a sequence of simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531416
Statistical tests in vector autoregressive (VAR) models are typically based on large-sample approximations, involving … general simulation-based technique that allows one to control completely the level of tests in parametric VAR models. In … considered as special cases. The technique developed is applied to quarterly and monthly VAR models of the U.S. economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100698
. Our approach is different, as it rests on the estimation of a bivariate VAR. Variables used are the budget balance in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010233385
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911488
The objective of the paper is to investigate to what extent business cycles co-move in Germany, France and Italy. We use a large-scale database of non-stationary series for the euro area in order to assess the effect of common versus idiosyncratic shocks, as well as transitory versus permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998840