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French Abstract: Ce document présente un ensemble de « variantes » du nouveau modèle macroéconomique sur la France de la Banque de France, FR-BDF dans sa version publiée en 2019 et utilisée pour la prévision et l'analyse. La description détaillée du modèle est faite dans Lemoine et...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843412
La programmation financière et monétaire tient une place centrale dans les négociations entre les autorités nationales des pays en développement et les institutions de Bretton Woods. Elle répond notamment à la nécessité d’établir une cohérence prospective entre l’évolution des...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005341982
This study is devoted to the analysis of the main effects, on the Belgian economy, of various forms of tax shifting aimed at increasing taxes on energy and decreasing other taxes(mainly taxes on labour). Results show that, if the increase in energy taxes is combined with a reduction of taxes on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246723
Declining natality and mortality are reshaping demographic patterns in most industrialized countries. We investigate the case of France where, after a few decades of sustained growth, active population is likely to stop growing and could eventually start decreasing. This will coincide with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008539976
MASCOTTE is the new version of the Banque de France's macro-econometric forecasting model. Following the last rebasing of National Accounts (currently at 1995 price), the previous version of the model was simplified, re-specified and re-estimated. The model is essentially used for making...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056499
In the first contribution to the Symposium included in this volume on Future Productivity Growth in Canada, Thomas Wilson of the University of Toronto presents forecasts based on the FOCUS macroeconometric model of the Canadian economy. This model projects labour productivity growth to grow at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650228
Cet article présente les résultats d'un modèle d'équilibre général calculable (MEGC) appliqué au cas de l'Afrique du Sud. L'objectif est d'évaluer les effets des politiques de libéralisation commerciale sur la croissance économique, les dynamiques sectorielles et, dans une moindre...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702946
The paper aims at assessing the net impact of the accumulation of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) capital on the economy. In a first part, focusing on the supply-side of the economy, we show that the growth accounting methodology cannot provide us with a measure of the net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001119
Exploring the economic consequences of demographic changes is often carried out within simple accounting frameworks. Such approaches consist of projecting the impact of ageing on social security expenditures under exogenous assumptions about economic growth, productivity, wages and employment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003482
Mesange is a medium-size quarterly macro-econometric model of the French economy (about 500 equations, three sectors). The model describes short-term Keynesian dynamics and its long-term equilibrium is driven by supply-side determinants. Its reestimation on data from the national accounts base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003515