We build a model with frictional unemployment and staggered wage bargaining and we assume that hours worked are negotiated every period. We analyze the role of workers? bargaining power in the hours negotiation on unemployment volatility and inflation persistence. The closer to zero is this...

Le 5ème symposium international de la Banque de France a porté sur les effets de la globalisation sur l’inflation et les récentes turbulences financières, ainsi que sur leurs éventuelles implications pour la conduite de la politique monétaire.

This paper is dedicated at reconsidering objectives and instruments of monetary policy and also at redefining a policy mix in an economy which is systematically confronted to imbalances due to changes in technology, in the composition of demand or in the distribution of income, It is motivated...

Euro area countries as a whole have experienced a marked downward trend over the 1980s. Over this period, the unemployment rate has increased and economic activity has been sluggish. Changes in the implicit inflation target, viewed as low frequency movements of inflation, might possibly explain...

In this article we estimate a time-varying " natural " rate of interest (TVNRI) for a synthetic euro area over the period 1979Q1-2002Q4 using a small backward-looking macroeconomic model, broadly following a methodology developed by Laubach and Williams (2003) for the United States. The Kalman...

In the development of the general equilibrium theories, Hicks and Allais played an essential role. We are studying here the contributions which were theirs respectively in Value and Capital (1939) and in the Traité d’économie pure (1943). The accent is put on three points: the theory of...

Le recrutement des jeunes enseignants chercheurs en France se fait de manière centralisée Le ministère calcule les affectations en fonction des listes de classements soumis par les comités de sélection et des listes de vœux soumis par les candidats. Les enjeux stratégiques du recrutement...

French Abstract: Les Credit Default Swaps (CDS) sont de plus en plus populaires pour la protection contre les défauts et la spéculation. Cette étude se concentre sur la modélisation précise du défaut en temps continu, puis sur l'evaluation des CDS. De nombreux cas entraînent l'annulation...

The Destinie model is a dynamic microsimulation model whose main purpose is the long run projection of pensions both at the macro and micro levels. This document presents how such simulations can be built with the new version of the model. They do not rely on a closed ready-made program where...