The popularity of Kalman filter is increasing in financial studies, notably to estimate diffusion processes. In this article, we show how we can use it to forecast the volatility of returns and the price-earnings ratio of the S&P500. The Kalman filter is consequently very versatile when...

In this paper, we show how to calibrate the most usual stochastic processes: arithmetic and geometric Brownian motions,, mean-reverting processes and jump processes. This paper contains also many applications to Canadian financial data. We observe, among other phenomena, that a mean-reverting...

Jacques van Ypersele de Strihou is a discrete person but well-known in Belgian and international political and economic circles. After an outstanding academic career at the Universities of Namur, Leuven and Louvain and then at Yale in the United States where he gained a PhD, he started out his...

Jacques van Ypersele de Strihou is a discrete person but well-known in Belgian and international political and economic circles. After an outstanding academic career at the Universities of Namur, Leuven and Louvain and then at Yale in the United States where he gained a PhD, he started out his...

La programmation financière et monétaire tient une place centrale dans les négociations entre les autorités nationales des pays en développement et les institutions de Bretton Woods. Elle répond notamment à la nécessité d’établir une cohérence prospective entre l’évolution des...

La microfinance a fait l’objet d’un colloque organisé par la Banque de France en juillet 2011. Les participants ont souligné son utilité comme outil d’inclusion financière, de développement économique et de lutte contre la pauvreté en s’appuyant sur les expériences des pays du...

Mesange is a quarterly macro-econometric model of the French economy. This model has been developed and is used jointly by INSEE and the French Treasury. This working paper presents the new version of the model. The data used in the re-estimation process are those of the National Accounts base...