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This study on overinvestment differs from the existing literature in that investment in machinery and equipment is modelled as a structural vector autoregression with identification achieved by imposing long-run restrictions, as in Blanchard and Quah (1989). The transitory components obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162408
In this paper, the authors use polynomial adjustment cost (PAC) models to analyze and forecast the main components of the U.S. trade sector. For instance, they model and measure the elasticities of imports and exports to changes in the exchange rate and income. PAC models provide a theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673377
This article puts forward a framework based primarily on probabilistic tools to analyse the nature of housing loan cycles in France. The continued high growth rate of housing loans may indeed raise concerns as to the duration and determinants of the cycle which currently prevails. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998836
The purpose of this study is to test the hypothesis of Thirlwall (1979) for the countries of the Franc Zone. These countries share in common the fixed parity of their currencies against the euro. One issue that concerns most of these countries is the current account deficit. By applying the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015226389
Through this paper, we assess the sustainability of Tunisian external debt and its effect on the growth of the country. Based on two main approaches, namely the actuarial approach and the accounting approach, we check whether Tunisia was able to support its external debt during the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015257249
The objective of this paper is to analyze the effect of foreign direct investments on economic growth in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) over the period 1980-2016. To achieve this objective, we used the ARDL approach. The results indicate a negative effect of foreign direct investments on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015263577
In this work, we are interested in studying the profile synchronization between world economies before and after the concept of globalization and economic integration. Initially, an analysis of features of macroeconomic fluctuations is developed. Two approaches have been developed;the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015221585
This paper analyzes the effects of the high economic openness of West African economies coupled with liability dollarization, on their economic activities. By using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in a small open economy framework, and performing an experiment based on a case of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015256225
This paper examines the role of democracy in strengthening the resilience of developing economies in the face of exogenous external shocks. Our study uses the duration model to estimate how external shocks and democracy determine the probable duration of a spell of economic growth. Examining a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015212120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246726