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The forecasting literature has identified three important and broad issues: the predictive content is unstable over … predictors. In this paper, we simultaneously address these three issues, proposing to directly treat the persistence of … forecasting variables before use. We thus cut-out the low frequency components and show, in simulations and on financial data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421811
funds and performance persistence for fixed-income funds. Nonetheless, the best pension funds in both categories are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111132
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514068
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This paper presents the main improvements carried out to the macroeconometric model MZE since its creation in 2003. We have back-calculated the series over the period 1980-1995, in order to make the model more stable. To our knowledge, this paper is the first application of Kllians (1998) method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364398
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Characterizing asset return dynamics using volatility models is an important part of empirical finance. The existing literature favors some rather complex volatility specifications whose relative performance is usually assessed through their likelihood based on a time-series of asset returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100917
model-free methods of volatility forecasting do not exist any more than do arbitrage opportunities (free lunches) in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100999
MASCOTTE is the new version of the Banque de France's macro-econometric forecasting model. Following the last rebasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056499