Showing 1 - 10 of 165
indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056518
La littérature sur l'instabilité macroéconomique couvre un champ extrêmement vaste qui se révèle par le spectre très large de mesures utilisées pour appréhender ce phénomène. Le choix de la mesure de l'instabilité macroéconomique apparait généralement peu discuté sous le...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014000796
Short-term analysts use many tools to forecast economic activity. Among these tools, estimating and, then, simulating univariate models is very common. Most of the time the series used for the variable of interest as well as for the regressors are last available releases. Except for the latter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466036
This paper presents original evidence on price setting in the euro area at the individual level. We use micro data on consumer (CPI) and producer (PPI) prices, as well as survey information. Our main findings are: (i) prices in the euro area are sticky and more so than in the US; (ii) there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056497
This paper reports the results of a survey conducted by the Banque de France during winter 2003-2004 to investigate the price-setting behavior of French manufacturing companies. Prices are found to adjust infrequently; the median firm modifies its price only once a year. Price reviews are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056534
While much attention has focused on the factors that brought about the so-called new economy, much less attention has been paid to optimal policy responses following the establishment of the new economy. In the third article, Gilbert Cette and Christian Pfister from the Bank of France provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650259
In this paper, we estimate and analyse a set of equations of French inflation for forecasting purpose at the horizon of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001111
MASCOTTE is the new version of the Banque de France's macro-econometric forecasting model. Following the last rebasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056499
The forecasting literature has identified three important and broad issues: the predictive content is unstable over … forecasting variables before use. We thus cut-out the low frequency components and show, in simulations and on financial data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421811
This paper proposes a full description of the Calvo price-setting model based on partial prices indexation and studies the interaction between partial indexation and trend inflation. We show that using a hybrid version of the Phillips curve partly decreases the risks of overestimate due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056511