. Accurately assessing this need is much more complex since disability patterns among the elderly are changing and availability of … caregivers. Using Statistics Canada Life Paths micro-simulation model, these projections incorporate disability rates and the …

on the evolution of disability. We use data from the HID survey, a two-wave panel, which makes it possible to estimate … transitions towards or out of disability. These transitions, as well as the disability rates at the beginning of the simulation … the life expectancy with disability at age 60 remains stable, there should be 1.2 million disabled elderly people in 2040 …