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We propose methods for testing hypothesis of non-causality at various horizons, as defined in Dufour and Renault (1998, Econometrica). We study in detail the case of VAR models and we propose linear methods based on running vector autoregressions at different horizons. While the hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100843
The present paper investigates the dynamic effects of disinflation shocks for a number of real macroeconomic variables in the euro area. Using structural VARs, we identify disinflation shocks as the only shocks that can exert a long--run effect on inflation as well as other nominal variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531414
changes in the period under review, the set of instruments and the way the output gap is computed. Using the Kalman filter, we … estimate in particular a measure of the output gap that is consistent with a small macroeconomic model, which constitutes a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056522
output gap and the natural rate of interest. The underlying state-space model incorporates an aggregate demand equation and a … TVNRI and the low-frequency fluctuations of potential output growth. The resulting interest rate gap, that is, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056544
L’objectif de notre travail est d’identifier les conditions nécessaires pour réussir la transition vers le régime de ciblage d’inflation pour le cas de la Tunisie. Dans ce contexte, nous analysons, tout d’abord, les fondements théoriques de la politique de ciblage d’inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871923
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169813
Dirk Pilat and Paul Schreyer of the OECD discuss the new OECD Productivity Database. The database covers 26 OECD countries for labour productivity estimates, as well as 14 countries for multifactor productivity estimates. While the database represents the most comparable productivity estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005292742
detailed industry level. The International Comparisons of Output and Productivity (ICOP) project established at the University … industry-specific purchasing power parities based on producer output data instead of final expenditure information. A key … finding that emerges from their research is the difference between labour productivity levels measured in terms of output per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481863