The aim of this paper is to check whether the economic and monetary policies developed under the CFA area create co-movements of business cycles of member countries. Indeed, the synchronization of business cycles is a result which can help to appreciate the degree of regional integration. Using...

This report presents and proposes several methods to improve the capacity of generalization of the learning algorithms in a context of financial decision-making. These methods, overall, aim at controlling the capacity of the learning algorithms in order to limit the problem of the over-training,...

French Abstract: Cet article vise à présenter et mettre en perspective les approches structurelles et non structurelles en économétrie de l'évaluation des politiques publiques. Si ces approches sont souvent opposées car correspondant à des démarches scientifiques différentes, elles se...

In this paper, we propose a simple econometric framework to disentangle the respective roles of monetary policy inertia and persistent shocks in interest rate rules. The procedure exploits the cross-equation restrictions provided by a DSGE model which is confronted to a monetary SVAR. We show...

Le modèle OPTIM permet de prévoir, chaque mois, les taux de croissance du PIB de la France et de ses principales composantes, pour le trimestre en cours et le trimestre suivant. Ce modèle mobilise un large éventail de données macro-économiques mensuelles et de données d’enquête,...