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We study the nonlinear dynamics of the real exchange rate towards its behavioral equilibrium value (BEER) using a Panel …
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In this paper, we rely on panel cointegration techniques to estimate the equilibrium exchange rate of the CFA Franc …
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The aim of this paper is to investigate the link between currency misalignments and economic growth. Relying on panel … cointegration techniques, we calculate real exchange rate (RER) misalignments as deviations of actual RERs from their equilibrium … values for a set of advanced and emerging economies. Estimating panel smooth transition regression models, we show that RER …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008493437
Using methods from machine learning we show that fundamentals from simple exchange rate models (PPP or UIRP) or Taylor-rule based models lead to improved exchange rate forecasts for major currencies over the floating period era 1973--2014 at a 1-month forecast horizon which beat the no-change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499680
Short lived arbitrage opportunities arise when prices adjust with a lag to new information. They are toxic because they expose dealers to the risk of trading at stale quotes. Hence, theory implies that more frequent toxic arbitrage opportunities and a faster arbitrageurs' response to these...
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