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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005243466
Mesange is a quarterly macro-econometric model of the French economy. This model has been developed and is used jointly by INSEE and the French Treasury. This working paper presents the new version of the model. The data used in the re-estimation process are those of the National Accounts base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466043
In the first contribution to the Symposium included in this volume on Future Productivity Growth in Canada, Thomas Wilson of the University of Toronto presents forecasts based on the FOCUS macroeconometric model of the Canadian economy. This model projects labour productivity growth to grow at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650228
. Given its scope and its subsequent uncertainty, we discuss the capacity of macroeconometric models estimated on the past to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003521
Dans les débats sur la zone Euro et son élargissement, l’accent est souvent mis sur le problème de l’hétérogénéité entre les pays. Mais les difcultés à se coordonner ne provi- ennent pas nécessairement de la disparité entre les pays, tout au moins si le nombre de pays est...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008551717
French abstract: Par un arrêt très attendu « Peter Gauweiler c/ Deutscher Bundestag » du 16 juin 2015 (affaire C-62/14), la Cour de justice de l'Union européenne (CJUE) a statué à titre préjudiciel sur une mesure de politique monétaire non conventionnelle menée par la Banque centrale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009364
We estimate the reaction function of monetary policy in the Euro area and derive the Taylor-type policy rule that a would-be ECB would have followed since the beginning of the European Monetary System (1979-2003). We first follow the standard GMM methodology developed by Clarida, Galí and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056522
specifications, the relatively high uncertainty surrounding the estimate hampers its direct integration into the policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056544
environment. This paper proposes, from a central banker's point of view, a synthesis of the main sources of uncertainty as well as … uncertainty and the choice of the selected loss function, the recommendations for monetary policy can be noticeably different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008479237
synthesis of the main sources of uncertainty as well as an illustration of their effects within an analytical framework. In … particular, it shows that depending on the type of uncertainty and the choice of the selected loss function, the recommendations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008800031