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In this paper, we estimate and analyse a set of equations of French inflation for forecasting purpose at the horizon of … exogeneous variables outside the sampling period: given the history at time t, one forecasts the value of inflation at time t …
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Cet article vise à analyser le comportement cyclique de la série du cours de l'action Orange du 03/01/2000 à 02/02/2017 par la recherche de la non linéarité à travers d'une classe de modèles non paramétriques hétéroscédastiques, notée NAR-ARCH. L'identification des modèles non...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254775
This paper aims to analyze the cyclical behavior of stock exchange Orange prices from 01/03/2000 to 02/02/2017 by the research of nonlinearities through a class of heteroscedastic non parametric models. The identification of non parametric models requires the selection of the Markov coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254837
This paper investigates the properties of the decomposition of a time series presented in a companion paper (Lacroix, (2008)). The procedure relies upon an extension of Beveridge-Nelson methodology. We focus on its empirical implementation and show the need for additional steps in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528502
Short-term analysis is generally performed with seasonally adjusted data from which further estimation of the business …, because seasonal adjustment and trend-cycle estimation do not share the same methodological framework, a fact which could … Nelson decompositions. We show that estimation of the various components of a given time series is feasible once the location …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528510