In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …

-term inflation objectives. In the long term, monetary policy is most effective in achieving its objectives when the inflation target … is changed in response to the new economy and when the monetary authority attempts to stabilize both inflation and output … for in changing the assessment of the potential growth rate and the inflation target. …

In this paper, we estimate and analyse a set of equations of French inflation for forecasting purpose at the horizon of … exogeneous variables outside the sampling period: given the history at time t, one forecasts the value of inflation at time t …