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La 4e de couverture indique : "Il n'existe pas de débiteur sous procédure collective sans un créancier ayant la qualité d'établissement de crédit? Le risque de défaillance d'entreprise est l'un des plus importants pour le secteur bancaire, confronté à gérer d'innombrables dossiers de...
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Using Consensus Forecasts monthly surveys, we show that experts' interest rate expectations in the Eurofranc market do not verify the rational expectations hypothesis. Instead, these expectations are found to be generated by a mixed process combining the traditional adaptive, regressive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094008
This paper shows that collateral constraints restrict firm entry and post-entry growth, even in the long-run. We use … collateral available to homeowners. We control for local demand shocks by comparing homeowners to two control groups that live in … the same region but do not experience collateral shocks: (i) renters and (ii) homeowners with a mortgage outstanding, who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010502054
Aux États-Unis, l’information issue des séries financières, qui reflètent les anticipations des agents basées sur l’information économique disponible, permet de bien prévoir la survenance de retournements conjoncturels.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009220164
This article puts forward a framework based primarily on probabilistic tools to analyse the nature of housing loan cycles in France. The continued high growth rate of housing loans may indeed raise concerns as to the duration and determinants of the cycle which currently prevails. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998836
This article aims at estimating leading indicators of the American economy with financial variables. We use two types of hidden Markov chains models, a quantitative one (Krolzig (1997)) and a qualitative one (Gregoir and Lenglart (2000)). These models provide a robust and reliable framework to...
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