The aim of this paper is to build and estimate a macroeconomic model of credit risk for the French manufacturing sector. This model is based on Wilson's CreditPortfolioView model (1997a, 1997b); it enables us to simulate loss distributions for a credit portfolio for several macroeconomic...

Pour expliquer les départs précoces à la retraite, les économistes utilisent le concept de taxation implicite sur tout prolongement de l’activité. De là à proposer que l’on élimine cette taxe, il n’y qu’un pas à franchir. Cette contribution montre que si le système de retraite...

This paper shows that, beyond the institutional stability of Social Security, changes in the private sector as well as the emergence of a new financial paradigm have transformed both the U.S. pension system and the political debate about its future. Although no major reform of Social Security...