En este trabajo se desarrolla un indicador de sostenibilidad de la deuda externa y se aplica a un conjunto amplio de países emergentes. Los resultados del modelo teórico indican que el tipo de cambio real juega un papel fundamental para garantizar la sostenibilidad de la deuda. Cuando se...

En este artículo estudiamos la estimación de un nivel de equilibrio de la cuenta corriente de la balanza de pagos de Colombia y sus posibles implicaciones para el desalineamiento de la tasa de cambio real. Se siguen dos metodologías alternativas para la estimación. Primero, se realiza una...

En los últimos años, Bolivia ha acumulado un nivel importante de reservas internacionales, debido a la favorable coyuntura externa y al régimen cambiario vigente (crawling peg). En ese contexto nace la interrogante de cuál es el nivel óptimo de reservas internacionales. <p>Según los...</p>

In recent years, Bolivia has accumulated a significant level of international reserves due to favorable external environment and the exchange rate regimen (crawling peg). In this context arises the question of: Which one is the optimal level of international reserves? According to the...

The aim of this paper is to identify the different shocks that could affect the current account in the argentine case, such as the terms of trade (the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect- HLM), supply shocks (productivity), demand shocks (real exchange rate and public consumption /current GDP) and...

The aim of this paper is to identify the different shocks that could affect the current account in the argentine case, such as the terms of trade (the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect-HLM), supply shocks (productivity), demand shocks (real exchange rate and public consumption /current GDP) and...

The purpose of this paper is to contrast the Keynesian partial equilibrium framework of the Current Account with the modern intertemporal general equilibrium approach where the Current Account imbalances reflect, and act as a buffer, against both real and monetary shocks. The document will try...