Showing 1 - 10 of 13
The aim of this paper is to evaluate to what extent more transparency can reduce the occurrence of speculative attacks …. It proposes a survey of the literature about the pros and cons of transparency on the exchange rate market, which is one … of the main pillars of the new international financial architecture. The effects of transparency are shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792045
Over the past two decades, an enormous amount of work has been done to improve the Expected Utility model. Two areas have attracted major attention: the possibility of describing unforeseen contingencies and the need to accomodate the kind of behavior ref
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812177
Elias Khalil's "Information, Knowledge and the Close of Friedrich Hayek's System," argues that an internal contradiction exists within Hayek's political economy relating to his use of information and knowledge. As a result, Khalil argues that neither Hayek's critique of planning nor his defense...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005641860
In December 2016 the National Bank of Hungary (NBH), by referring to its "backcasts" (based on analyses of past data-revisions), arbitrarily revised upwards the data of the Hungarian Statistical Office (HSO) on GDP-growth for the first three quarters of 2016. This "methodological innovation" (as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944914
The study aims to revisit some of the macroeconomic issues related to Hungary's eurozone-accession. The government postponed euro-adoption until 2020 without any explanation, which is one of the motivations of our analysis. We review the arguments formulated in 2000-2004 regarding the adoption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494500
The study aims to revisit some of the macroeconomic issues related to Hungary's eurozone-accession. The government postponed euro-adoption until 2020 without any explanation, which is one of the motivations of our analysis. We review the arguments formulated in 2000-2004 regarding the adoption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521086
Hungarian Abstract: A hagyományos közgazdaságtan a reálelemzés keretében érvel, és ez akadálya a valós gazdasági folyamatok megértésének. Schumpeter és Keynes kritizálta ezt a megközelítést és helyette a monetáris elemzést alkalmazta. Ezt az elméleti alapvetést követem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849610
In December 2016 the National Bank of Hungary (NBH), by referring to its "backcasts" (based on analyses of past data-revisions), arbitrarily revised upwards the data of the Hungarian Statistical Office (HSO) on GDP-growth for the first three quarters of 2016. This "methodological innovation" (as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011686510
Simple models of monetary policy often imply optimal policy behavior that is considerably more aggressive than what is commonly observed. This paper argues that such counterfactual implications are due to model restrictions and a failure to account for multiplicative parameter uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207188
In this paper, we examine the cost of insurance against model uncertainty for the Euro area considering four alternative reference models, all of which are used for policy-analysis at the ECB. We find that maximal insurance across this model range in terms of a Minimax policy comes at moderate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345043