forecasts and foreseeing structural changes". It presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities … is to provide ideas, lessons and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model … of quantitative labour market forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model …

. We take their model and compare it with several other specifications to test forecasting fit. The main conclusions of … of this latter are easier to interpret. Quasi-autoregressive models do not improve forecasting fit as much as expected. …

The study presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on … and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model of quantitative labour market … forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model quantification, as well as the …

results bear on trade forecasting: it seems that the 2008 crisis increased the cohesion of trade in the short term only …