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We develop Bayesian methods of analysis for a new class of Threshold Autoregressive models: Endogenous Delay Threshold. We apply our methods to the commonly used sunspot data data set and find strong evidence in favor of the EDTAR model over linear and tranditional threshold autoregressions.
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education events at the individual level. The model projects educational participation and attainment of the population over a … Hungarian Census of 2001 as the initial model population. We present the results of the base scenario when all parameters … (transition probabilities) are assumed to be timeinvariant, that is, this scenario projects education level of the population on …
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In this paper I use county to county migration data to estimate the effect of labour market conditions on these flows. A gravity model is estimated on Hungarian NUTS 2 regions for the period between 1994 and 2002. Such results are not available for Hungary so far. Estimated parameters show...
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