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Egy unortodox jegybanki adatrevízió háttere, utóélete és tanulságai
Gábor, Oblath - 2017
In December 2016 the National Bank of Hungary (NBH), by referring to its "backcasts" (based on analyses of past data-revisions), arbitrarily revised upwards the data of the Hungarian Statistical Office (HSO) on GDP-growth for the first three quarters of 2016. This "methodological innovation" (as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944914
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Egy unortodox jegybanki adatrevízió háttere, utóélete és tanulságai
Gábor, Oblath - 2017
In December 2016 the National Bank of Hungary (NBH), by referring to its "backcasts" (based on analyses of past data-revisions), arbitrarily revised upwards the data of the Hungarian Statistical Office (HSO) on GDP-growth for the first three quarters of 2016. This "methodological innovation" (as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011686510
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A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata -áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról
Gács, János; Bíró, Anikó - 2012
forecasts and foreseeing structural changes". It presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities … is to provide ideas, lessons and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model … of quantitative labour market forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494517
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A munkakereslet nemzetközi tendenciái
Horn, Dániel - 2011
. We take their model and compare it with several other specifications to test forecasting fit. The main conclusions of … of this latter are easier to interpret. Quasi-autoregressive models do not improve forecasting fit as much as expected. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494708
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A munkaerő-piaci előrejelzések nemzetközi gyakorlata: Áttekintés a kvantitatív módszerekről és felhasználásukról 12 ország és az Európai Unió előrejelzési tapasztalatai alapján...
Gács, János; Bíró, Anikó - 2013
The study presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on … and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in Hungary. After outlining the basic model of quantitative labour market … forecasting the paper identifies the technical conditions of model building and model quantification, as well as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494734
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Monetary Policy Amplification Effects through a Bank Capital Channel
Aguiar, Alvaro; Drumond, Inês - Money Macro and Finance Research Group - 2007
This paper improves the analysis of the role of financial frictions in the transmission of monetary policy, by bringing together the borrowers' balance sheet channel with an additional channel working through bank capital, considering capital adequacy regulations and households' preferences for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004975698
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Válaszút elõtt a makroökonómia?
Mellár, Tamás - Közgazdaságtudományi Kar, Pécsi Tudományegyetem - 2010
A 2008-ban kitört pénzügyi válság ráirányította a figyelmet a mainstream makroökonómiára, amely a válság elõrejelzésében és magyarázatában rossz teljesítményt nyújtott. Az újklasszikus és az újkeynesi iskola közötti konszenzus eredményeként létrejött DSGE-modellek...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611432
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THE FINANCING OF R&D INVESTMENTS: EFFECTS ON GROWTH AND FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
GAROFALO, Giuseppe; MORGANTI, Patrizio - In: Journal of Applied Economic Sciences 5 (2010) 2(12)/Summer2010, pp. 70-93
The financing of innovation impacts on economic growth. What’s, among bank-based or market-based system, the best organizational form? The paper supports the view that both forms have to be merged into a unique approach (law and finance view) embracing not only the overall quality of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008643971
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Bank relationships: effect on the availability and marginal cost of credit for firms in Argentina
Streb, Jorge M.; Bolzico, Javier; Druck, Pablo; Henke, … - Universidad del CEMA - 2002
The paper provides evidence on what affects at the margin the cost and availability of bank credit for firms in Argentina. We study in particular how banks use different pieces of private and public information to screen firms and overcome informational asymmetries in the credit market. Some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005668752