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The study presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on multi-sector models, in 12 countries and the European Union. The principal aim of this effort is to provide ideas, lessons and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009727249
Our paper examines the possible role of enterprise surveys in the forecasting of labour market processes. Based on two enterprise surveys with large samples we examine to what extent are enterprises, differing in their size, sales revenues, ownership structure and markets, capable to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009670766
The study was prepared in the framework of the "Priority Project TÁMOP - 2.3.2-09/1: Establishing labour market forecasts and foreseeing structural changes". It presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on multi-sector models, in 12...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632204
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This paper evaluates the forecasting performance of a continuous stochastic volatility model with two factors of … volatility (SV2F) and compares it to those of GARCH and ARFIMA models. The empirical results show that the volatility forecasting … ability of the SV2F model is better than that of the GARCH and ARFIMA models, especially when volatility seems to change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582598
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Our paper examines the possible role of enterprise surveys in the forecasting of labour market processes. Based on two enterprise surveys with large samples we examine to what extent are enterprises, differing in their size, sales revenues, ownership structure and markets, capable to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494514