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The paper provides a review of basic elements of asymptotic theory. Topics include modes of convergence, laws of large numbers and central limit theorems.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241851
This paper evaluates the forecasting performance of a continuous stochastic volatility model with two factors of … volatility (SV2F) and compares it to those of GARCH and ARFIMA models. The empirical results show that the volatility forecasting … ability of the SV2F model is better than that of the GARCH and ARFIMA models, especially when volatility seems to change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582598
We scrutinise in this paper the systemic consequences of state intervention triggered by external shocks for the dynamics of investment in the transforming Chinese economy. Our analysis focuses on the period before and after the global crisis. We interpret investment dynamics in a comparative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944915
In December 2016 the National Bank of Hungary (NBH), by referring to its "backcasts" (based on analyses of past data-revisions), arbitrarily revised upwards the data of the Hungarian Statistical Office (HSO) on GDP-growth for the first three quarters of 2016. This "methodological innovation" (as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944914
The study aims to revisit some of the macroeconomic issues related to Hungary's eurozone-accession. The government postponed euro-adoption until 2020 without any explanation, which is one of the motivations of our analysis. We review the arguments formulated in 2000-2004 regarding the adoption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494500
The study aims to revisit some of the macroeconomic issues related to Hungary's eurozone-accession. The government postponed euro-adoption until 2020 without any explanation, which is one of the motivations of our analysis. We review the arguments formulated in 2000-2004 regarding the adoption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521086
Hungarian Abstract: A hagyományos közgazdaságtan a reálelemzés keretében érvel, és ez akadálya a valós gazdasági folyamatok megértésének. Schumpeter és Keynes kritizálta ezt a megközelítést és helyette a monetáris elemzést alkalmazta. Ezt az elméleti alapvetést követem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849610