Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC …

the naive one by a factor of 2 to 3. The relationships for inflation were successfully tested for cointegration. We have … and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …

In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries …: Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States. The primary purpose is to examine if periods of low inflation are associated … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …

An approach to decomposing and interpreting the inflation process is proposed. It suggests that the low U.S. inflation …

Inflation has been the major global economic problem for most economies throughout the world over the last three … money. According to this hypothesis, inflation results solely from a maintained expansion of the money stock at rates in …, which may have influenced prices, were included in the cointegration regressions. Second, the finding of a unidirectional …

framework. Using the Johansen cointegration procedure, results indicate the existence of one cointegrating vectors at least for …

shocks on inflation in Fiji. How the domestic inflation in a pegged exchange rate system is aligned with international price …. The multivariate cointegration tests are done after the unit root tests, and further, the Vector Error Correction (VEC … also shows that due to the exchange rate depreciation, inflation has increased for many years in Fiji. The policy …

In the following study the relation between the public debt and the inflation will be analysed. The transmission from … the public debt to the inflation through the money supply and long term interest rate will be shown. Based on these …

This paper discusses the econometric model of inflation processes in the Republic of Belarus which makes it possible to … econometrics: cointegration analysis and error-correction models. The model has good statistical properties, it demonstrates …

A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …