This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component analysis is first used to summarize the...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component technique is first used to summarize the...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component analysis is first used to summarize the...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component technique is first used to summarize the...

Italian Abstract: Il presente lavoro analizza la sensitività delle stime del PIL potenziale e dell'output gap utilizzate nel contesto del processo di sorveglianza del Patto di stabilità e crescita. Il metodo di stima è quello della funzione di produzione adottato dalla Commissione europea e...

Italian Abstract: Il turismo russo in Italia sta assumendo un peso, anche in termini economici, sempre più rilevante che, al di là di eventi sfavorevoli contingenti, tenderà a consolidarsi e a svilupparsi anche nel futuro. Tuttavia, nonostante l'importanza di questo segmento turistico,...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component technique is first used to summarize the...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component analysis is first used to summarize the...

Italian Abstract:In questo saggio vengono utilizzati metodi di analisi delle serie storiche al fine di studiare le relazioni tra il rapporto debito pubblico/PIL e le sue determinanti macroeconomiche (quali il rapporto saldo primario/PIL, il PIL reale, il tasso di inflazione e il tasso di...

Knowledge of the characteristics of the short-term evolution of consumer prices for each country and for their average is important for better monitoring and forecasting of inflation in the euro area. In this paper we seek to verify to what extent the short-term variability of the HICPs can be...