In this work we have found a relevant increase in the systematic risk of the American real estate securities in the year 2007 which go to the initial values in the year 2009. With the aim to evaluate the systematic risk we have used the Fama-French three factor model and we have studied the...

We investigate the occurrence of risk sharing among Italian regions with respect to both long run and short run income fluctuations by means of Vector Equilibrium Correction Models (VEqCMs) which allow to test all implications of the theory without preliminary filtering or transformations of...

Questo saggio analizza il NAIRU utilizzando un VAR cointegrato e dati che riferiscono al mercato del lavoro italiano. In questo saggio si mostrerà perché un VAR cointegrato rappresenta un approccio statisticamente adeguato alla stima del NAIRU, cioè un modo efficace di superare i diversi...

When observed over a large panel, measures of risk (such as realized volatilities) usually exhibit a secular trend around which individual risks cluster. In this article we propose a vector Multiplicative Error Model achieving a decomposition of each risk measure into a common systematic and an...

The aim of this paper is to build a tool for performing forecasting exercises, allowing to obtain a reliable estimate of Italian consumer price inflation. To reach this goal we estimate a simple three-equation model for the short term forecasting of twelve-month percentage variations of the...

Italian Abstract:In questo saggio vengono utilizzati metodi di analisi delle serie storiche al fine di studiare le relazioni tra il rapporto debito pubblico/PIL e le sue determinanti macroeconomiche (quali il rapporto saldo primario/PIL, il PIL reale, il tasso di inflazione e il tasso di...

This contribution is an analysis and a comment of the Final Remarks of the Governor of the Bank of Italy and his directions of economic policy for the Italian economy. An economy that has a high unemployment and also supports a public debt that, despite the recent efforts of fiscal...

The circular interplay between demography-employment-productivity-PayGo is investigated for Europe and Us. Looking forward to the mid-long run, the paper offers simulations of the burden each effective worker and each active citizen will have to bear to finance via pay-as-you-go public health...

This note is intended to provide an initial assessment of the potentialities of the data reconstruction work, relating to labour market series, carried out as part of the SVIMEZ volume for the Sesquicentennial of the Unification of Italy. To this end, we develop some considerations on a key...

This note is intended to provide an initial assessment of the potentialities of the data reconstruction work, relating to labour market series, carried out as part of the SVIMEZ volume for the Sesquicentennial of the Unification of Italy. To this end, we develop some considerations on a key...