The economic collapse of 2007-10 is described as a debt deflation crisis triggered by a speculative bubble. The basic causes are traced back to the policy choices of the great capitalist powers governing globalization. Market liberalization and the TRIPS agreements work as a sort of global...

In this paper we address the issue of forecasting Value–at–Risk (VaR) using different volatility measures: realized volatility, bipower realized volatility, two scales realized volatility, realized kernel as well as the daily range. We propose a dynamic model with a flexible trend...

The transmission mechanisms of volatility between markets can be characterized within a new Markov Switching bivariate model where the state of one variable feeds into the transition probability of the state of the other. A number of model restrictions and hypotheses can be tested to stress the...

Multiplicative Error Models (MEM) can be used to trace the dynamics of non–negative valued processes. Interactions between several such processes are accommodated by the vector MEM and estimated by maximum likelihood (Gamma marginals with copula functions) or by Generalized Method of Moments....

In financial time series analysis we encounter several instances of non–negative valued processes (volumes, trades, durations, realized volatility, daily range, and so on) which exhibit clustering and can be modeled as the product of a vector of conditionally autoregressive scale factors and a...

The Multiplicative Error Model introduced by Engle (2002) for non-negative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with positive support. In this paper we propose a multivariate extension of such a model, by taking...

Italian Abstract: La proposta di unione bancaria europea rappresenta il più recente tentativo di guidare i paesi della zona Euro verso l'effettiva adozione di un codice unico e un unico manuale di vigilanza, allo stesso tempo dotandoli di un meccanismo centralizzato per la risoluzione delle...

Italian Abstract: Nell'ambito della propria attività di procurement la Banca Mondiale eroga annualmente tra i 20 e i 40 miliardi di dollari di nuovi prestiti, la metà dei quali destinati al finanziamento di infrastrutture. Si tratta di un mercato nel quale le imprese italiane hanno conseguito...

This work is the final result of a research project, funded by the Italian Nation Research Centre (CNR) about the cultural identity like integration factor. The project aim was to study, from a business economics perspective, the management system of the cultural sites, belonging to the World...