Tra i metodi di stima puntuale della riserva sinistri nell’assicurazione danni `e largamente utilizzato, in particolare dalle compagnie italiane, un approccio noto come “metodo di Fisher- Lange” (FL). L’FL `e un metodo “a costi medi”, nel senso che la valutazione degli impegni di...

The poverty line, which has been set by the World Bank in 1990 at 1.08USD/day PPA contains three major errors: it does not refer to a clear definition of poverty; it uses wrong PPA factors converting national poverty lines and it is based on limited data from two countries with the highest...

This paper analyses the financial and economic conditions of the companies in the portfolios of Italian private equity funds. Information from an ad hoc survey of Italian asset management companies, combined with accounting data for 2008 drawn from the Central Credit Register, is used to develop...

Given a set of continuous variables with missing data, we prove in this paper that the iterative application of a simple “least-squares estimation/multivariate normal simulation” procedure produces an efficient parameters estimator. There are two main assumptions behind our proof: (1) the...

Forecasting Budget expenditures using Budget balance intra annual data

In this work we have found a relevant increase in the systematic risk of the American real estate securities in the year 2007 which go to the initial values in the year 2009. With the aim to evaluate the systematic risk we have used the Fama-French three factor model and we have studied the...

The aim of this paper is to build a tool for performing forecasting exercises, allowing to obtain a reliable estimate of Italian consumer price inflation. To reach this goal we estimate a simple three-equation model for the short term forecasting of twelve-month percentage variations of the...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component analysis is first used to summarize the...

This paper aims to construct a high-frequency coincident indicator of economic activity for Lombardy and for the provinces of Milan and Pavia, by using the dynamic factor model approach introduced by Stock e Watson (1998a e 1998b). The principal component technique is first used to summarize the...

We investigate the occurrence of risk sharing among Italian regions with respect to both long run and short run income fluctuations by means of Vector Equilibrium Correction Models (VEqCMs) which allow to test all implications of the theory without preliminary filtering or transformations of...