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We analyze several measures of volatility (realized variance, bipower variation and squared daily returns) as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812866
is presented in this paper and evaluated by means of a simulation and a real world example of volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731539
, durations, realized volatility, daily range, and so on) which exhibit clustering and can be modeled as the product of a vector …, number of trades and realized volatility reveals empirical support for a dynamically interdependent pattern of relationships …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731543
gains over the equation by equation approach using a four variable fully interdependent model with different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731544
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813700
Many ways exist to measure and model financial asset volatility. In principle, as the frequency of the data increases …, the quality of forecasts should improve. Yet, there is no consensus about a "true" or "best" measure of volatility. In … this paper we propose to jointly consider absolute daily returns, daily high-low range and daily realized volatility to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812865
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509948
Nonlinear time series models can exhibit components such as long range trends and seasonalities that may be modeled in a flexible fashion. The resulting unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator can be too heavily parameterized and suboptimal for forecasting purposes. The paper proposes the use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005075728
In this paper we address the issue of forecasting Value–at–Risk (VaR) using different volatility measures: realized … volatility, bipower realized volatility, two scales realized volatility, realized kernel as well as the daily range. We propose a …-Spline Multiplicative Error Model. Exploiting UHFD volatility measures, VaR predictive ability is considerably improved upon relative to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005075734
Markov Switching Models to test whether the Italian stock market volatility has increased in the long run and if it can be … represented by different volatility regimes. We find that volatility regimes exist; that Banking sector has a central role and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005687785