largest drop recorded was found in residential building construction sector. The only engineering construction sector has …

economical indicators. Also there are made short-term forecasts by trend and the seasonal index, and verified the hypothesis of … developed ARMA models to the key macroeconomical indicators and made short-term forecasts according to the ARMA models … analysis of ARMA models and forecasts, conclusions and suggestions. Thesis consists of: 114 p. texts without appendixes, 61 …

models. Was made forecasts of 2011-2013 about sales, cost, general and normal operating and of net profit, using the method … of trend. Also was made a profit forecast for 2011 using method of exponential smoothing and moving averages. And …