This report presents leading indicators of real gdp-growth for the United States, Japan and 7 EU member countries. These indicators make use of business cycle indicators developed at the Bank, together with information contained in financial and monetary variables like the yieldcurve, the money...

This report investigates monetary transmission in a monetary union of developing countries (West-African monetary union or Communauté Financière Africaine, CFA). This requires existing monetary transmission models to be adapted. Three econometric methods are applied to assess the impact of...

The headline inflation rate is subject to unpredictable, temporary, sector-specific shocks. Therefore, various measures of core inflation have been proposed to isolate the underlying or permanent inflation component. In this paper, a number of criteria are used to evaluate several statistical...

This article discusses and advocates extension of the traditional price index to include asset prices. A price index which reflects current asset prices would be of great help to those preparing monetary policy for EMU, and is particularly relevant in the current situation of low inflation as...

Countries differ as to financial structure. That goes also for countries taking part in the Economic and Monetary Union, EMU. As a result, the ECB's monetary policy does not necessarily affect economic activity and price developments in individual euro area countries to the same extent. The...