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We investigate whether information from news articles could improve predictions of house price inflation at a short forecast horizon. The Covid-19 pandemic led to a shutdown of the Norwegian economy on March 12th 2020. Large economic fluctuations posed challenges for models used to forecast...
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Housing affordability can have an impact on housing demand. We analyse housing affordability by measuring the distribution of selling prices in the housing market against the distribution of household capacity to debt-finance a home. The latter is calculated based on household debt-servicing...
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The Ministry of Finance has proposed a temporary capital requirement (risk weight floor) for commercial real estate (CRE) exposures in Norway, applicable to the largest banks. CRE is the sector where banks have historically incurred the largest losses during crises. Since CRE loan losses are low...
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