Norwegian Abstract: Hvordan kan en boligprisboble identifiseres før den sprekker? Eksisterer det en boligprisboble i et gitt marked? Dette er forskningsspørsmål som er gjengangere både i studentoppgaver og i vitenskapelige artikler. Boligbobler er et tema som opptar mange på grunn av...

Vi kartlegger årsakssammenhengen mellom pengemarkedsrenten og inflasjon gjennom en makroøkonometrisk modell. Modellen belyser også hvilke typer sjokk en har størst mulighet til å nøytralisere ved hjelp av moderate renteendringer, og hvilke målkonflikter som kan oppstå. I artikkelens...

I denne rapporten analyserer vi avkastningsmønstret på Oslo Børs over perioden 1980- 2006. Formålet med rapporten er å analysere drivkreftene bak kursutviklingen i det norske aksjemarkedet. Et viktig siktemål med analysen er dessuten å undersøke i hvilken grad hovedresultatene fra...

Norges Bank's advice on the countercyclical capital buffer is based on a broad set of qualitative and quantitative information. The European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) recommends including a general indicator of systemic stress in the financial system in this decision basis. The composite...

The Ministry of Finance has proposed a temporary capital requirement (risk weight floor) for commercial real estate (CRE) exposures in Norway, applicable to the largest banks. CRE is the sector where banks have historically incurred the largest losses during crises. Since CRE loan losses are low...

IFRS 9 has changed the way banks recognise credit losses. Under IFRS 9, credit impairment shall be based on more forward-looking assessments by including recognition of expected credit losses. The purpose of this memo is to analyse how IFRS 9 affects the path of Norwegian banks' credit losses in...

Loans to non-financial enterprises are the main source of banks' losses. Analyses of banks' losses on corporate loans are therefore important in the assessment of financial stability. This paper presents Norges Bank's framework for estimating losses on corporate loans built up from microdata for...

After the Covid-19 pandemic broke out, the authorities have introduced a number of measures aimed at the business sector. Support has largely been given to the sectors hardest hit by the pandemic and measures to contain it. A considerable share of banks' loan customers in these sectors have...