This paper studies the determination of the surpluses of the Brazilian central government. For quarterly data from 1996 through 2011, the empirical strategy included: i) structural break models and nonlinear estimates on the level of public debt, to handle the inertia after 1999, for high levels...

This study aims to show that during the cycle of credit expansion occurred in the Brazilian economy between 2003 and 2010, public banks had acted with a degree of liquidity preference higher than that of private banks until the international financial crisis. The need to achieve economic and...