This paper develops a simple structuralist model to deal with the relationships between inflation and external adjustment policies in foreign-indebted economies facing strong reversals in capital inflows. Taking Latin American experiences in the eighties as a reference, the model attempts to...

The present work aims to investigate the dynamic interactions between capital flows, public debt, country risk, interest rate differential and stock of foreign exchange in Brazil in the period 1995-2004. The vector autoregressive model (VAR) and the vector error correction model (VEC)...

This paper investigates the relationship between trade openness and the current account reversal cost in economies that have experienced sudden stops. At the beginning of such episode, governments usually attempt to equilibrate the balance of payments spending international reserves, but sudden...

The real exchange rate (RER) can be considered one of the most important relative price of economics, given the influence it exerts on many other prices and variables, and may be overvalued, among other factors, as a symptom of the existence of a Dutch disease process. Thus, seeking to prove...

This paper shows estimates of the optimal level of foreign reserves for Brazil between the first quarter of 2004 and the third trimester of 2012, by applying the new Jeanne e Rancière (2011) framework, using different scenarios. The estimates of the optimal holdings of this asset are calculated...

This paper shows estimates of the optimal level of foreign reserves for Brazil between the first quarter of 1998 and the same trimester of 2008, by applying the Jeanne e Ranciére (2006) framework, using different scenarios. We also estimate the fiscal costs of holding this asset, as well as the...

This article analyzes the exchange rate misalignment in Brazil in the period between 1994 and the early 2008, exploring its causes and consequences. The method used was to adjust the exchange rate according to the economic fundamentals. The estimations led to an expected long-term exchange rate,...

This paper shows estimates of the optimal level of foreign reserves for Brazil between the first quarter of 1998 and the same trimester of 2008, by applying the Jeanne e Ranciére (2006) framework, using different scenarios. We also estimate the fiscal costs of holding this asset, as well as the...