The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the … (DSGE) models - the main theoretical tool for modern macroeconomics. Nevertheless, VAR models may be subject to pathologies … the Fabio Canova e Mehdi Hamidi Sahneh, in order to test for these pathologies in Brazilian typical fiscal VAR model using …

estimate a non causal VAR with Brazilian typical data and compare its forecasts to a regular causal VAR, using the same data … determination of the effects fiscal policy, as the non causal VAR has shown substantially better predictive ability than the regular … causal VAR for that dataset. …

causal VAR with Brazilian typical data and compare its forecasts to a regular causal VAR, using the same data found to be non … fiscal policy, as the non causal VAR has shown substantially better predictive ability than the regular causal VAR for that …

The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the … (DSGE) models - the main theoretical tool for modern macroeconomics. Nevertheless, VAR models may be subject to pathologies … the Fabio Canova e Mehdi Hamidi Sahneh, in order to test for these pathologies in Brazilian typical fiscal VAR model using …

variables. These results cast some doubts about the ability of the Phillips curve to describe the dynamics of inflation in the …

study, the following are more remarkable. Firstly, the inflationary inertia and expectation of inflation are important … variables for the dynamic of inflation although the relevance of expectation seems to be more relevant in a more recent period … that the sum of coefficients of lagged inflation and expectation of inflation is equal to unity. Thirdly, the effect of …

The evaluation of forecasts performance of market expectations about the Brazilian inflation rate (Focus survey) is …) showed that, in the period 2000.1 2005.4, several models had superior forecast ability than the mean of market inflation rate …

This paper aims to discuss the determinants of Brazilian inflation measured by the Extended National Consumer Price … more influence on inflation are ordered by the so-called Inflation Targeting Pressure Index (ITPI), designed to measure the … function method, with monthly data from 1999 to 2009 to estimate the macroeconomic determinants of inflation in the 22 …

This paper presents estimates for Brazilian inflation during the 2000s. The results of a structural model with two … endogenous variables - wage inflation and consumer inflation - indicate that: i) the demand indicator was not statistically … significant in the consumer inflation, but it was important to explain wage inflation; ii) variations in the exchange rate and in …