The goal of the chapter is to discuss the ways of state action in Brazil since Fernando Henrique Cardoso (FHC) to Dilma Rousseff. The intention is not to scrutinize the performance of public accounts but scrutinize the stance of fiscal policy, the role reserved to the State and the instruments...

So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...

The goal of the chapter is to discuss the ways of state action in Brazil since Fernando Henrique Cardoso (FHC) to Dilma Rousseff. The intention is not to scrutinize the performance of public accounts but scrutinize the stance of fiscal policy, the role reserved to the State and the instruments...

This article estimates the stance of fiscal policy using the framework of conditional forecasting to evaluate the stance in Brazil since 1997. This indicator is measured as the deviation of forecast of the output gap conditional to the observed values and steady-state values of the instruments...

This paper studies the determination of the surpluses of the Brazilian central government. For quarterly data from 1996 through 2011, the empirical strategy included: i) structural break models and nonlinear estimates on the level of public debt, to handle the inertia after 1999, for high levels...

This article summarizes the studies about the Phillips curve in the Brazilian economy. Overall, the results are very sensitive to the time period, to the proxies adopted, to the econometric approach, and to the frequency and lags allowed to the variables. These results cast some doubts about the...