In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...

In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...

Este artigo analisa, através de dados intradiários, coletados minuto a minuto, o efeito do dia de vencimento de contratos de opções de compra de ações sobre a negociação das ações subjacentes negociadas na Bolsa de Valores de São Paulo. Para tanto, foram usadas as séries de opções...

The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy in the estimation allows the stipulation of an expenditure level that meets the demands of the population. Using data released by the National Council of Treasury Policy, the...

The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy in the estimation allows the stipulation of an expenditure level that meets the demands of the population. Using data released by the National Council of Treasury Policy, the...

Portuguese Abstract: Este artigo utiliza o analise de componentes principais para avaliar os movimentos da Estrutura a Termo brasileira. Com os fatores obtidos aplicam-se os procedimentos de imunização de carteira de renda fixa local e compara-se o resultado a uma estratégia de hedge simples...

The promotion of public policy development, focusing on results, needs indicators for monitoring its effectiveness. The indices of municipal development, synthetic indices that capture certain aspects of local development, serve as reference for the diagnosis and monitoring of the results of the...

The institutionalization of SUS made the municipalities important players in the public health policy. Thus, it was expected that the amount of resources allocated to public health would be determinate in some measure by the political party preferences. Given these political and institutional...